Strategy, with operations support
The Rajkot snack maker that had to stop making half its range before it could sell in fourteen states
The family asked us which states to enter next. Six weeks of counting stock in godowns gave a different answer, and turnover went from ₹180 crore to ₹310 crore in two years.
1The situation
Turnover, ₹ crore
Nilesh Thakkar's father started frying sev and gathiya in a rented shed off Gondal Road in 1987. By 2022 the company sold 340 products through 210 distributors in Gujarat, Maharashtra, Rajasthan and Madhya Pradesh, and turnover had sat at about ₹180 crore for three years running.
EBITDA margin
The family's plan was to go national. Two national brands had started paying kirana shops in Saurashtra an extra 3 to 4 per cent trade margin, and the only answer the company had tried was to match it. Margin had fallen from 11 per cent to 8. The board wanted a map of which states to enter first, and a budget for the distributors they would need there.
That was the question we were hired to answer. It turned out to be the wrong one.
2What we found
Products in the range
We spent the first six weeks away from the head office: in 38 distributor godowns, 120 shops, and the two plants at Shapar and Metoda. We counted stock rather than asking about it.
Days of stock held by distributors
Ninety products made 62 per cent of revenue. The other 250 each sold less than ₹40 lakh a year, and most were regional variants that only moved in one or two districts. Because every distributor was asked to carry the full range, the average godown held 41 days of stock, and the slow lines were quietly expiring on the shelf.
Expired stock written off, ₹ crore a year
The company was writing off ₹6.8 crore a year of namkeen it had already paid to make, pack and ship. None of this showed up in the board pack, which reported sales to distributors, not sales to shops.
The range had been built for Gujarat's shops. It could not travel. Taking all 340 products into eight new states would have multiplied the problem eight times over.
We came in asking for a list of states. They came back and told us to stop making half of what we make.
3What changed
The plan the board signed in August 2023 had three parts, done in this order and not in parallel.
First, the range came down from 340 products to 180. The cut was made with the regional sales managers in the room, district by district, so the products that mattered locally stayed where they sold and nowhere else.
Second, distribution moved from 210 small distributors to 64 super-stockists, each carrying a shorter, faster range. Stock in the channel fell from 41 days to 19, and write-offs dropped to ₹1.4 crore a year.
States with active distribution
Third, and only then, the new states. The company entered in two waves of five, starting where Gujarati and Marwari households already bought its products on visits home: Karnataka, Telangana, Delhi, Punjab and West Bengal. Each wave went live only after the previous one had held its sell-through for a full quarter.
Twenty-four months after the first workshop, turnover was ₹310 crore and EBITDA margin 13.4 per cent. In March 2025 a Mumbai-based fund invested ₹45 crore for a minority stake, on the strength of those two numbers.
The part we are proudest of is the dull part. The company still reviews its range every quarter against the same sell-through sheet we drew up in week three, and nobody from XYZ Advisory has touched it since.